Challenging the Idea of Stocks for the Long Run | Jason Buck
Excess ReturnsAugust 22, 202401:01:50

Challenging the Idea of Stocks for the Long Run | Jason Buck

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Jason Buck of Mutiny Funds to examine the idea of stocks for the long run and some potential challenges to it.

We discuss:

- Why the impressive historical returns of the US stock market may be an outlier
- The importance of looking at real returns vs nominal returns
- How to build a diversified portfolio to handle different economic scenarios
- The concept of "fractal diversification" in portfolio construction
- Rethinking sustainable withdrawal rates in retirement
- The pros and cons of using leverage in a diversified portfolio
- Unconventional investing beliefs that go against the mainstream

0:00 Introduction
1:14 Jason Buck's background and previous episode recap
2:03 Challenging the "stocks for the long run" idea
4:15 Real vs nominal returns in the stock market
5:35 U.S. market performance compared to other countries
10:43 Is the U.S. market different? Reasons for American exceptionalism
14:18 The Herschel Walker Syndrome in investing
22:47 Why Not An All Stock Portfolio?
31:42 The four quadrant model of portfolio construction
37:05 Fractal diversification in portfolio management
39:56 Adding new assets to a diversified portfolio (e.g. crypto)
45:10 Rethinking withdrawal rates in retirement
50:36 Leverage in diversified portfolios: pros and cons
56:37 Unconventional investing beliefs
1:00:36 Closing thoughts and where to find Jason Buck online