Episodes

The Resilience No One Trusts | Brent Donnelly on Why War and Oil Haven’t Broken This Market
Excess ReturnsApril 17, 2026x
439
01:04:4359.26 MB

The Resilience No One Trusts | Brent Donnelly on Why War and Oil Haven’t Broken This Market

Brent Donnelly returns to Excess Returns to break down one of the most confusing market environments in years, where policy shocks, volatility, and positioning matter more than traditional fundamental...

The Bear Market No One Sees | Liz Ann Sonders on the Real Story Indexes Hide
Excess ReturnsApril 15, 2026x
438
01:04:5659.45 MB

The Bear Market No One Sees | Liz Ann Sonders on the Real Story Indexes Hide

Liz Ann Sonders of Schwab joins Excess Returns to break down how war, an oil shock, and shifting market dynamics are reshaping the investing landscape. She explains why the surface-level strength in m...

The Forever Invariable Truth | Jim Grant on War, Inflation, and What Comes Next
Excess ReturnsApril 13, 2026x
437
01:03:2057.99 MB

The Forever Invariable Truth | Jim Grant on War, Inflation, and What Comes Next

This episode features Jim Grant of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer on inflation, war, monetary policy, and the long arc of credit cycles. Grant explains why inflation is ultimately driven by monetary d...

The Recession Signal Hidden in Walmart | The Weekly Wrap - 4/12/2026
Two Quants and a Financial Planner April 12, 2026x
132
01:10:2764.51 MB

The Recession Signal Hidden in Walmart | The Weekly Wrap - 4/12/2026

This week’s Excess Returns Weekly Wrap brings together insights from Jim Paulsen, Brent Kochuba, Anthony Wang, and Tom Hancock to break down what’s really driving markets right now—from recession sign...

The Market the Tweets Can’t Break | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next
Excess ReturnsApril 11, 202601:09:0263.2 MB

The Market the Tweets Can’t Break | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next

Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Spotify⁠⁠ ⁠⁠Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Apple Podcasts This episode of The Opex Effect breaks down why markets have remained surprisingly resilient despite geopolit...

The Market the Tweets Can’t Break | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next
The OPEX EffectApril 11, 2026x
34
01:08:3162.74 MB

The Market the Tweets Can’t Break | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next

This episode of The Opex Effect breaks down why markets have remained surprisingly resilient despite geopolitical chaos, an oil shock, and extreme headline risk. Brent Kochuba joins Jack Forehand to a...

The Risk at the End of the Whip | GMO’s Tom Hancock on Finding Conviction Amid the AI Hype
Excess ReturnsApril 09, 2026x
436
00:58:4053.72 MB

The Risk at the End of the Whip | GMO’s Tom Hancock on Finding Conviction Amid the AI Hype

This episode of Excess Returns features GMO’s Tom Hancock on how to think about AI as an investment opportunity and what truly defines “quality” in today’s market. The conversation breaks down the AI ...

The Walmart Indicator Just Hit 2008 Levels | Jim Paulsen on the Big Difference This Time
Excess ReturnsApril 08, 202600:59:4654.73 MB

The Walmart Indicator Just Hit 2008 Levels | Jim Paulsen on the Big Difference This Time

This episode of Excess Returns features Jim Paulsen breaking down the current macro environment through a series of powerful indicators, including oil, interest rates, consumer behavior, and market se...

The Walmart Indicator Just Hit 2008 Levels | Jim Paulsen on the Big Difference This Time
The Jim Paulsen ShowApril 07, 202600:59:2154.35 MB

The Walmart Indicator Just Hit 2008 Levels | Jim Paulsen on the Big Difference This Time

This episode of Excess Returns features Jim Paulsen breaking down the current macro environment through a series of powerful indicators, including oil, interest rates, consumer behavior, and market se...