📌 Topics Covered:
Why today’s political leaders are reshaping markets and capitalism
How investors must rethink confidence, control, and certainty
The "beneficiary vs. victim" framework for companies and countries
Implications for capital allocation in a deglobalizing world
Fragility of dominant leadership and geopolitical risk
How social media and sentiment shape investor perception
Where investors are most misaligned with current realities
Confidence mapping for AI, private credit, Chinese equities, and more
⏱️ Timestamps:
00:00 – Why the old investment framework no longer works
01:29 – What “a few good men” means in today’s investment era
02:35 – The fallacy of the 1990s globalization mindset
04:03 – The launchpad, the passenger seat, and the illusion of control
07:00 – Why national leaders now dictate corporate winners and losers
10:05 – Beneficiaries vs. victims: how to identify them
13:58 – CEOs must now plan for national resilience
15:25 – Global capital allocation redefined
16:39 – Can mega-caps even survive in this new order?
19:21 – Tesla and the politics of brand perception
21:34 – Why crowd sentiment matters more than CEO plans
23:40 – In and out of favor: how quickly things change
26:21 – The fragility of dominant leaders
28:01 – U.S. market dynamics under the new regime
30:20 – The hidden risk of widespread victimhood
33:31 – Currency markets as sentiment trackers
36:10 – Gold as a safe haven in the new power game
37:29 – Where investors are most off-sides today
39:00 – AI stocks: the comfort zone (for now)
40:46 – Political risk in Chinese equities
43:23 – Regional banks: still vulnerable
44:39 – Private credit’s blind spot
47:08 – The policy response will no longer save everyone
48:20 – Traditional valuation metrics don’t apply
49:00 – The 5 F’s: behavioral reactions to powerlessness
50:00 – Social media as echo chambers of victims and beneficiaries
52:36 – Historical analogs: pre-WWII Europe
54:44 – One lesson Peter would teach every investor
57:03 – What Peter believes that most investors don’t
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