We explore:
- How geopolitical events in the Middle East and Ukraine are impacting markets and risk
- Cem's views on inflation, recent Fed actions, and market flows
- The impact of options positioning and market structure on volatility
- Cem's outlook for the remainder of 2023 and into 2024
- Historical patterns around elections and how they may apply today
- Thoughts on the rise of passive investing and potential shifts ahead
- Perspectives on AI as both a productivity driver and investment theme
Cem shares his unique insights on how the current market backdrop compares to other periods of elevated populism and inflation, and what that could mean for returns and investor behavior going forward.
0:00 Introduction
2:00 Geopolitical events and market impact
8:12 Inflation, Fed actions, and market flows
14:00 Options positioning and market structure
23:45 Market outlook for late 2023 and 2024
30:18 Historical patterns around elections
43:22 Rise of passive investing and potential shifts
51:12 AI as a productivity driver and investment theme
59:00 Cem's unique belief about investing
1:04:31 Closing thoughts
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