The $9 Trillion Risk | Rupert Mitchell on What Follows US Dominance
Excess ReturnsJune 06, 202500:53:34

The $9 Trillion Risk | Rupert Mitchell on What Follows US Dominance

In this episode of Excess Returns, Matt Zeigler sits down with Rupert Mitchell—founder of Blind Squirrel Macro—for an insightful, opinionated, and often humorous discussion on global market dynamics, the Mag 7, structural portfolio shifts, and what it takes to be a successful generalist investor. From the “Chart of Truth” to the hidden value in tire stocks, Rupert brings decades of experience and a distinctive lens to markets, risk, and opportunity.

🔍 Topics Covered:

Why European pension funds are rethinking U.S. equity exposure

The “Chart of Truth” and its implications for global allocations

The unexpected strength of retail investors in recent rallies

Mag 7 dominance, Nvidia’s market impact, and AI euphoria

Why Apple might be the ultimate funding short

A deep dive into the “Bushy” portfolio and why 60/40 is broken

How inflation volatility shapes asset choices and international diversification

The case for owning Goodyear and Korean utilities

The problem with adjusted EBITDA and financial storytelling

How being a generalist can be a competitive investing edge

⏱️ Timestamps:
00:00 – Why $9 trillion in European pensions is a big risk for U.S. markets
03:00 – Sell in May: LOL and the hated rally
06:20 – The “Chart of Truth” and global equity rotation
08:30 – Career risk for non-U.S. institutional allocators
12:00 – Policy pressures, financial repression & capital wars
13:00 – The Mag 7, Highlander thesis, and Nvidia’s contribution
18:00 – Why Apple might be dead money (or worse)
20:00 – Building the Bushy portfolio: structure, yield, and diversification
24:00 – Why trend following is in the portfolio—and what’s not
26:00 – Thematic plays: gold, energy, EM dividends, and tail hedges
31:00 – Why tires (yes, tires) are a compelling investment case
35:00 – Tariffs, Goodyear restructuring, and the EV tire trade
38:00 – Korean utilities and fire-first investing
40:00 – The power of being a generalist in today’s market
44:00 – How AI tools make generalist investing even easier
47:00 – The growing backlash to BS accounting
49:00 – A contrarian AI take: Meta breaks ranks?
50:00 – Rupert’s lesson for investors: JOMO over FOMO
51:00 – Don’t emulate your heroes—craft your own investing path