Excess Returns Podcasts

Latest Episodes

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  • Excess Returns
  • The OPEX Effect
  • Two Quants and a Financial Planner
  • Click Beta
  • Rabbithole with Dave Nadig
  • Teach Me Like I'm Five: Investing Concepts Made Simple
  • The Jim Paulsen Show
  • The 100 Year Thinkers: Long-Term Compounding in a Short-Term World
  • Last Call | A Different Kind of Market Wrap
  • The Intangible Economy with Kai Wu
The Secular Plateau | Chris Bloomstran on Why We May Be at Peak Valuations
Excess ReturnsApril 22, 2026x
441
01:08:3762.83 MB

The Secular Plateau | Chris Bloomstran on Why We May Be at Peak Valuations

This episode features Chris Bloomstran of Semper Augustus discussing market concentration, AI capital spending, Berkshire Hathaway, and the risks facing today’s equity investors. The conversation expl...

They Call It "Broadening." The Data Says It’s Just Two Stocks
Click BetaApril 21, 202601:00:4555.63 MB

They Call It "Broadening." The Data Says It’s Just Two Stocks

Markets are sending conflicting signals right now—shrugging off geopolitical shocks, powering higher on a narrow set of AI-driven stocks, and relying on a consumer that may be spending beyond its mean...

We Asked Liz Ann Sonders, Jim Grant, and Brent Donnelly What Investors Miss About This Market
Two Quants and a Financial Planner April 19, 2026x
133
01:05:4260.16 MB

We Asked Liz Ann Sonders, Jim Grant, and Brent Donnelly What Investors Miss About This Market

This week’s Excess Returns Weekly Wrap brings together insights from Jim Grant, Liz Ann Sonders, and Brent Donnelly to break down the biggest forces driving markets right now, including war-driven inf...

We Asked David Rosenberg Why He Owns Almost No US Stocks — and What He Holds Instead
Excess ReturnsApril 19, 2026x
440
01:05:2859.94 MB

We Asked David Rosenberg Why He Owns Almost No US Stocks — and What He Holds Instead

This episode features David Rosenberg, founder of Rosenberg Research, breaking down why today’s market may be driven more by valuation excess and investor behavior than fundamentals. He explains why t...

The Resilience No One Trusts | Brent Donnelly on Why War and Oil Haven’t Broken This Market
Excess ReturnsApril 17, 2026x
439
01:04:4359.26 MB

The Resilience No One Trusts | Brent Donnelly on Why War and Oil Haven’t Broken This Market

Brent Donnelly returns to Excess Returns to break down one of the most confusing market environments in years, where policy shocks, volatility, and positioning matter more than traditional fundamental...

The Bear Market No One Sees | Liz Ann Sonders on the Real Story Indexes Hide
Excess ReturnsApril 15, 2026x
438
01:04:5659.45 MB

The Bear Market No One Sees | Liz Ann Sonders on the Real Story Indexes Hide

Liz Ann Sonders of Schwab joins Excess Returns to break down how war, an oil shock, and shifting market dynamics are reshaping the investing landscape. She explains why the surface-level strength in m...

The Forever Invariable Truth | Jim Grant on War, Inflation, and What Comes Next
Excess ReturnsApril 13, 2026x
437
01:03:2057.99 MB

The Forever Invariable Truth | Jim Grant on War, Inflation, and What Comes Next

This episode features Jim Grant of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer on inflation, war, monetary policy, and the long arc of credit cycles. Grant explains why inflation is ultimately driven by monetary d...

The Recession Signal Hidden in Walmart | The Weekly Wrap - 4/12/2026
Two Quants and a Financial Planner April 12, 2026x
132
01:10:2764.51 MB

The Recession Signal Hidden in Walmart | The Weekly Wrap - 4/12/2026

This week’s Excess Returns Weekly Wrap brings together insights from Jim Paulsen, Brent Kochuba, Anthony Wang, and Tom Hancock to break down what’s really driving markets right now—from recession sign...

The Market the Tweets Can’t Break | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next
Excess ReturnsApril 11, 202601:09:0263.2 MB

The Market the Tweets Can’t Break | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next

Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Spotify⁠⁠ ⁠⁠Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Apple Podcasts This episode of The Opex Effect breaks down why markets have remained surprisingly resilient despite geopolit...

The Market the Tweets Can’t Break | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next
The OPEX EffectApril 11, 2026x
34
01:08:3162.74 MB

The Market the Tweets Can’t Break | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next

This episode of The Opex Effect breaks down why markets have remained surprisingly resilient despite geopolitical chaos, an oil shock, and extreme headline risk. Brent Kochuba joins Jack Forehand to a...

The Risk at the End of the Whip | GMO’s Tom Hancock on Finding Conviction Amid the AI Hype
Excess ReturnsApril 09, 2026x
436
00:58:4053.72 MB

The Risk at the End of the Whip | GMO’s Tom Hancock on Finding Conviction Amid the AI Hype

This episode of Excess Returns features GMO’s Tom Hancock on how to think about AI as an investment opportunity and what truly defines “quality” in today’s market. The conversation breaks down the AI ...

The Walmart Indicator Just Hit 2008 Levels | Jim Paulsen on the Big Difference This Time
Excess ReturnsApril 08, 202600:59:4654.73 MB

The Walmart Indicator Just Hit 2008 Levels | Jim Paulsen on the Big Difference This Time

This episode of Excess Returns features Jim Paulsen breaking down the current macro environment through a series of powerful indicators, including oil, interest rates, consumer behavior, and market se...

The Walmart Indicator Just Hit 2008 Levels | Jim Paulsen on the Big Difference This Time
The Jim Paulsen ShowApril 07, 202600:59:2154.35 MB

The Walmart Indicator Just Hit 2008 Levels | Jim Paulsen on the Big Difference This Time

This episode of Excess Returns features Jim Paulsen breaking down the current macro environment through a series of powerful indicators, including oil, interest rates, consumer behavior, and market se...

The Inevitability No One Sees | $11 Billion Tech Manager on What Investors Miss About AI
Excess ReturnsApril 06, 2026x
435
01:02:3557.3 MB

The Inevitability No One Sees | $11 Billion Tech Manager on What Investors Miss About AI

This episode of Excess Returns features Tony Wang of T. Rowe Price discussing how investors can identify “inevitabilities” in technology and position portfolios to benefit from long-term innovation tr...

The 1 in 18,900 Bet | Practical Lessons from Michael Maboussin, Katie Stockton, Ben Hunt, Kuppy and Aahan Menon
Two Quants and a Financial Planner April 05, 2026x
131
01:06:3660.98 MB

The 1 in 18,900 Bet | Practical Lessons from Michael Maboussin, Katie Stockton, Ben Hunt, Kuppy and Aahan Menon

This episode of Excess Returns Weekly Wrap brings together the most important ideas from a packed week of interviews, covering AI and base rates, the Magnificent Seven, commodities, macro risks, and p...

The Signal Before the Spike | Katie Stockton on What the Charts Tell Us About What Comes Next
Excess ReturnsApril 03, 2026x
434
00:48:3444.48 MB

The Signal Before the Spike | Katie Stockton on What the Charts Tell Us About What Comes Next

This episode explores the growing signs of a shift beneath the surface of the market, as technical indicators point to weakening momentum in equities and a potential change in leadership. Katie Stockt...

Michael Mauboussin | AI, Base Rates, and Investing in the New Economy
Excess ReturnsApril 02, 202601:01:4456.52 MB

Michael Mauboussin | AI, Base Rates, and Investing in the New Economy

In this inaugural episode of our new show, The Intangible Economy with Kai Wu, we explore how AI, intangible assets, and unprecedented capital investment are reshaping the future of markets. Michael M...

Michael Mauboussin: Base Rates, AI Adoption, and Investing in the Intangible Economy
The Intangible Economy with Kai WuMarch 31, 202601:01:1256.04 MB

Michael Mauboussin: Base Rates, AI Adoption, and Investing in the Intangible Economy

This episode of The Intangible Economy explores how AI, intangible assets, and unprecedented capital investment are reshaping the future of markets. Michael Mauboussin joins Kai Wu to break down why t...

The Stagflation Regime | Aahan Menon on What Works When Stocks and Bonds Don’t
Excess ReturnsMarch 31, 2026x
433
00:58:1453.32 MB

The Stagflation Regime | Aahan Menon on What Works When Stocks and Bonds Don’t

This episode of Excess Returns features Aahan Menon of Prometheus Research breaking down the growing risk of an inflation shock driven by energy markets and what it means for investors. The discussion...

6x Earnings. 10x Potential. | Harris Kupperman on the Inflections Wall Street Misses
Excess ReturnsMarch 30, 2026x
432
01:02:4857.51 MB

6x Earnings. 10x Potential. | Harris Kupperman on the Inflections Wall Street Misses

This episode explores Harris “Kuppy” Kupperman’s framework for “inflection investing” and how he identifies asymmetric opportunities across global markets. The conversation dives into why he believes ...